Friday, September 25, 2009

SEC Preview and Predictions Week 4


Before we get started, lets talk about last nights game between Ole Miss and South Carolina. I have never seen a top ranked team play so scared like I did watching the Rebels last night. Snead turned in a horrid performance and as it seems, Ole Miss is still not ready for the big time. Give credit to the Cocks, as usual the defense stepped up and shut down the offense. The play of Stephen Garcia wasn't flashy but I think Spurrier has finally found himself a quarterback that can get it done. Garcia has put 3 games together of good play and has built himself some confidence. The relentless pressure they put on the Rebels on Defense was outstanding. Ole Miss looked unfocused and shaken. The o-line was mostly dominated giving Snead no time to throw and we he did have time, Snead didn't make good choices by throwing into double coverage. Ole Miss failed to connect on two fourth downs which pretty much made the game in doubt. Even, the touchdown they threw Snead was about to be sacked and the fullback ran into the back of him. All in all, the Rebels still have a shot at the SEC West, which in my opinion is wide open for the taking. They get Bama and LSU at home which seem to be their only tough games left. The big question out of all this is, how good is this South Carolina team? Remember, there only one play away from being defeated.
LSU @ Miss.St- This is a dangerous game for LSU. The Bulldogs are a confident bunch after winning at Vanderbilt last week, and senior running back Anthony Dixon is running like he means business. This is also Mississippi State’s first game back home after two straight games on the road, so the cowbells will be ringing with renewed vigor. The difference will be an LSU defense that hasn't allowed a touchdown in the past six quarters and appears to be rounding into shape under first-year coordinator John Chavis. Tigers win in a sneaky game.
Arkansas @ Alabama- Watching Ryan Mallett go up against Alabama’s defense will be a treat, although it might not seem that way to Mallett when he’s got Marcell Dareus, Dont’a Hightower and Rolando McClain chasing him. The Hogs’ passing game is the real deal, but so is Alabama’s defense. The Crimson Tide will get Mallett out of the pocket, where he didn’t look quite as effective throwing against Georgia last week. Tide wins going away.
Florida @ Kentucky- The Gators have scored at least 45 points in three of the four games in this series since Urban Meyer arrived in 2005. The Wildcats had serious problems hanging onto the ball last week in their win over Louisville. If you turn the ball over against Florida, what happens is what happened to the Wildcats last season when they were clobbered 63-5. It won’t be that bad this time around, but the Gators will still take out a little frustration after not having their "A" game last week against Tennessee. The flu-stricken Gators win.
Ohio @ Tennessee- Well, it’s a different day on Rocky Top. The Vols are trying to work their way back to elite status under Lane Kiffin and hope to build off their hard-fought 23-13 loss to the Gators. The best way to do that is play with the same pride, purpose and toughness they played with at the Swamp from here on out ... regardless of its Ohio.
Ball State @ Auburn- Ball State limps into Jordan-Hare Stadium with a 0-3 record, including a loss to the same North Texas team that was trounced last week by Alabama. Look for the Tigers to go to 4-0 and pour it on in this game, almost as hard as the rain poured last weekend on the Plains.
Arizona State @ UGA- This game scares me a bit(just like every other) but with more rain on the way just in time for kickoff makes me nervous. The Dawgs have had a hard time holding on to the ball at the running back position and throwing rain into the mix just doesn't make me feel comfortable. Arizona State has the best defense in the nation but have played two high school opponents(not true, but close enough) I'm going to pick an x-factor is this and this is going to send shock waves through my friends and family but I think Caleb King will be the difference. I say shock waves because I have done nothing but bash the kid since I saw him play in high school when he was at GAC. I was actually calmed by the fact he returned last weekend and he looked good. So, I will take the Dawgs in this one.
Vandy @ Rice- If the Commodores ever needed a win, they need one now. They were able to get by last season with a strong defense and key plays on special teams, which masked a limited offense. There’s been no masking that offense this season, but a simplified attack and a few big plays from sophomore quarterback Larry Smith should be enough to keep the Owls winless. They’ve given up 140 points in their first three games. Vandy wins in a close one....hopefully.
Well there are the picks. So far, I'm 13 and 3 for picks so lets hope we keep rolling. I will be in person for the UGA game so check back Sunday as I review everything. Peace, be safe and Go Dawgs!

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